Private Equity Placement Model

The Private Equity Placement Model operates on your already-completed five-year financial forecast. The model's purpose is to estimate the "pre-money" and "post-money" value of your business, and the ownership splits immediately after the equity financing, based on the businesses' historical and forecasted financial performance, and the new equity investments in the business.

For purposes of the model, equity investments include any or all of the following: investments in common stock (or contributed capital); investments in preferred stock; and investments in subordinated debt with warrants.

From a processing standpoint the private equity placement model makes a copy of your already completed five-year forecast and uses that copy (and any changes you make to it) for projecting future operating results. As such, your original forecast is preserved.

The Private Equity Placement Model analyzes the value of your business from the point of view of a minority investor in your business. The model assumes that the new equity investors have investigated your business and operating plan, and believe the business will achieve the financial results forecasted. From a timing standpoint, the model assumes that the new equity investors invest in your business at the beginning of year two (2) of your five-year forecast; and own their investment in your business for the ensuing four (4) years, at which time the business is sold.

In order to generalize the analysis across a potentially infinite range of "deal" attributes, the model assumes that the business is sold at the end of year five; and that the buyer buys only the assets of the business and assumes none of its liabilities. Therefore, the sellers of the business (i.e., you and your fellow investors) need to payoff all of the liabilities of the business (and in all likelihood, the income tax owed as a result of the gain realized on the sale of the assets) from purchase price paid to you by the buyer.

Because additional equity capital usually supports higher growth rates than can be accomplished without additional equity capital, it is likely that your original five-year forecast (without the new equity capital infusion) will need to be adjusted to reflect increased business opportunities.

The output of the Private Equity Placement Model consists of:

  • Private Equity Placement Summary.

  • A narrative report which organizes and provides an interpretation of the forecast results.

  • Primary financial statements - annual income statements, balance sheets and cash flow statements - showing your businesses' financial performance prior to and after the new equity financing.

  • Several pages of documentation detailing the key assumptions underlying the analysis, and actual and forecasted financial ratio data and statistics. You may change any or all of the first draft assumptions, including your five-year forecast, to see how the changes impact the Private Equity Placement Model.